Fortuna Player’s Big Win: Polish Millionaire from Mexican Baseball

Have you ever wondered what it would be like to win big at sports betting? What would you spend such a windfall on? I hope my employer doesn’t read this, but I think about it from time to time. Meanwhile, one Polish player registered through LegalniBukmacherzy.pl at Fortuna.pl has realized his dream of wealth at a low cost. All it took was betting on Mexican baseball. Why didn’t I think of that earlier!

Fortuna Player’s Big Win

It’s Tuesday, June 18, 2024, at 10 PM. Someone logs into Fortuna.pl and starts analyzing bets. The eternal question of what to bet on and at what odds, what to put on the ticket, and what to save for the next one. A quick calculation of chances, a mix of knowledge and intuition. By 10:25 PM, three tickets are already placed. Now, as usual, all it takes is a bit of luck and crossed fingers.

I don’t know what good deeds this player has accumulated in his life recently, but if goodness returns, he must have been very generous to others lately. Nine hours after placing the tickets, just before 8 AM the next day – perhaps even before starting work – he checks the results and at that moment realizes he can take a day off. He is a Polish millionaire. He won 1,284,306 PLN, which amounts to nearly 300,000 euros.

Betting on Mexican Baseball

Mexican baseball is not particularly popular in Poland, but in Mexico, it ranks second after soccer. The Liga Mexicana de Béisbol (LMB), bet on the winning ticket, is the main league, attracting substantial fan interest and the biggest stars of Mexican baseball. Pericos de Puebla and Tigres de Quintana Roo are clubs with a long history of success and are among the most decorated teams in the LMB.

As you can see on the ticket, bets were placed on the number of points, or more precisely, the “over/under” type of bet. For the Pericos vs. Tigres game, the threshold was 14.5 points, meaning he predicted the total points would exceed 14.5. The game had high stakes, and both teams are known for solid play both offensively and defensively. It wasn’t a sure bet, the risk was relatively high.

High Risk, High Reward

The greatest chance of winning, at 41%, was for the Dos Laredos – Chihuahua game (over 10.5), a regular-season match with medium stakes as teams fought for a better position in the standings. The lowest chance on the ticket (35%) was for the Veracruz vs. DR Del Mexico match, with odds at 2.85.

Considering also that the total odds on each ticket were 6486.29, we must finally accept that to win a substantial amount, one must be ready to take a high risk. The probability of winning in this case is about 0.0154%, which means it is very unlikely. Such a ticket is extremely risky, but the potential win is enormous. He who won at Fortuna placed three tickets with identical total odds. Can you imagine?

Moreover, the more events on the ticket, the lower the probability of winning, as all picks must be correct. Here, he placed 9 bets on each ticket, which is quite a lot but not an extremely high number. Given the total odds on the ticket and the number of bets, the combined probability of winning with a ticket of 9 bets is about 0.00823%, which is very low.

Taking into account all the variables described, it’s safe to say that the person who won was very lucky. Who wouldn’t want to be in his place now? Especially when you realize that to earn 1,284,306 PLN at average Polish wages, one would need to work over 13 years. How then to win quickly and a lot? Maybe it’s just enough to bet on Mexican baseball.